Research

Submitted

• M. Schwarz, J. Kurle, F. Pretis, A. Martinez and G. Harper. An Open-Source Empirical Macro (OSEM) Model for Economic and Emission Forecasting. Submitted, 2025.
• X. Jiao and J. Kurle. An Asymptotic Study of the False Outlier Detection Rate in Robust Two-Stage Least Squares Regressions. Submitted, 2024.^⟡

Working Papers

• J. Kurle. Testing for Outliers in Robust Two-Stage Least Squares Regressions. Working Paper.^⟡
• J. Kurle. A Monte Carlo Study of Super Saturation for Detecting Outliers and Location Shifts. Working Paper.^⟡

Policy Papers

• M. Pigato, R. Rafaty, J. Kurle. The COVID-19 Crisis and the Road to Recovery: Green or Brown? World Bank Working Paper. 2021. | Associated blog post

Software

• J. Kurle. ivgets: General to Specific Modeling and Indicator Saturation in 2SLS Models. R package on CRAN.
• J. Kurle. robust2sls: Outlier Robust Two-Stage Least Squares Inference and Testing. R package on CRAN.

---

^⟡Versions of these papers are available from my DPhil thesis.